• Adherence to antihypertensive medication in Russia: A scoping review of studies on levels, determinants and intervention strategies published between 2000 and 2017 

      Bochkareva, Elena Viktorovna; Butina, Ekaterina Kronidovna; Kim, Irina Vitalievna; Kontsevaya, Anna Vasilievna; Drapkina, Oxana Mikhailovna; Leon, David Adrew; McKee, Martin (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2019-09-25)
      <p><i>Background - </i>Arterial hypertension (HT) is common in the Russian adult population, with half of affected individuals inadequately controlled. Low adherence to medication seems likely to be a factor. We report a scoping review of studies on adherence to antihypertensive therapy (AHT) in Russia to determine the extent of research undertaken, the frequency of adherence among adults diagnosed ...
    • Availability and Affordability of Medicines for the Treatment of Cardiovascular Diseases in Pharmacies in Six Regions of the Russian Federation 

      Imaeva, Asiia E; Balanova, Yulia A; Kontsevaya, Anna V; Kapustina, Anna V; Duplyakov, Dmitry V.; Malysheva, Olga H; Osipova, Irina V.; Petrichko, Tatiana A; Kropanin, Georgiy I; Kasimov, Riza A; Leon, David Adrew; McKee, Martin (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2018)
      <i>Aim</i>: To evaluate the availability and affordability of medicines used to treat of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in several regions of the Russian Federation with different climatic, geographic, economic and demographic characteristics.<p> <p><i>Material and methods</i>: The study was conducted in 6 regional capitals, chosen to differ in geographically, economically, and demographically. ...
    • Excess mortality in Russia and its regions compared to high income countries: An analysis of monthly series of 2020 

      Timonin, Sergey; Klimkin, Ilya; Shkolnikov, Vladimir M.; Andreev, Evgeny; McKee, Martin; Leon, David A. (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2021-12-21)
      Background: Russia has been portrayed in media as having one of the highest death tolls due to the COVID-19 pandemic in the world. However, the precise scale of excess mortality is still unclear. We provide the first estimates of excess mortality in Russia as a whole and its regions in 2020, placing this in an international context. Methods: We used monthly death rates for Russia and 83 regions ...
    • Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 

      Vos, Theo; Allen, Christine; Arora, Megha; Barber, Ryan M.; Bhutta, Zulfiqar A.; Brown, Alexandria; Carter, Austin; Casey, Daniel C.; Charlson, Fiona J.; Chen, Alan Z.; Coggeshall, Megan; Cornaby, Leslie; Dandona, Lalit; Dicker, Daniel J.; Dilegge, Tina; Erskine, Holly E.; Ferrari, Alize J.; Fitzmaurice, Christina; Fleming, Tom; Forouzanfar, Mohammad H.; Fullman, Nancy; Gething, Peter W.; Goldberg, Ellen M.; Graetz, Nicholas; Haagsma, Juanita; Johnson, Catherine; Kassebaum, Nicholas J.; Kawashima, Toana; Kemmer, Laura; Khalil, Ibrahim A.; Kinfu, Yohannes; Kyu, Hmwe H.; Leung, Janni; Liang, Xiaofeng; Lim, Stephen S.; Lopez, Alan D; Lozano, Rafael; Marczak, Laurie; Mensah, George A; Mokdad, Ali H.; Naghavi, Mohsen; Nguyen, Grant; Nsoesie, Elaine; Olsen, Helen; Pigott, David M.; Pinho, Christine; Rankin, Zane; Reinig, Nikolas; Salomon, Joshua A; Sandar, Logan; Smith, Alison; Stanaway, Jeffrey; Steiner, Caitlyn; Teeple, Stephanie; Thomas, Bernadette A.; Troeger, Christopher; Wagner, Joseph A.; Wang, Haidong; Wanga, Valentine; Whiteford, Harvey A.; Zoeckler, Leo; Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbas, Kaja M.; Abd-Allah, Foad; Abraham, Biju; Abubakar, Ibrahim; Abu-Raddad, Laith J.; Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M.E.; Ackerman, Ilana N.; Adebiyi, Akindele Olupelumi; Ademi, Zanfina; Adou, Arse Kouablan; Afanvi, Kossivi Agbelenko; Agardh, Emilie Elisabet; Agarwal, Arnav; Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad; Ahmadieh, Hamid; Ajala, Oluremi N.; Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola; Akseer, Nadia; Al-Aly, Ziyad; Alam, Khurshid; Alam, Noore K. M.; Aldhahri, Saleh Fahed; Alegretti, Miguel Angel; Alemu, Zewdie Aderaw; Alexander, Lily T.; Alhabib, Samia; Ali, Raghib; Alkerwi, Ala'a; Alla, Francois; Allebeck, Peter; Al-Raddadi, Rajaa; Alsharif, Ubai; Altirkawi, Khalid A.; Alvis-Guzman, Nelson; Amare, Azmeraw T.; Amberbir, Alemayehu; Amini, Heresh; Ammar, Walid; Amrock, Stephen Marc; Andersen, Hjalte H.; Anderson, Gregory M.; Anderson, Benjamin; Antonio, Carl Abelardo T.; Aregay, Atsede Fantahun; Arnlov, Johan; Artaman, Al; Asayesh, Hamid; Assadi, Reza; Atique, Suleman; Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G. Arthur; Awasthi, Ashish; Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala; Azzopardi, Peter; Bacha, Umar; Badawi, Alaa; Balakrishnan, Kalpana; Banerjee, Amitava; Barac, Aleksandra; Barker-Collo, Suzanne L.; Bärnighausen, Till; Barregard, Lars; Barrero, Lope H.; Basu, Arindam; Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad; Bell, Brent; Bell, Michelle L.; Bennett, Derrick A.; Bensenor, Isabela M.; Benzian, Habib; Berhane, Adugnaw; Bernabe, Eduardo; Betsu, Balem Demtsu; Beyene, Addisu Shunu; Bhala, Neeraj; Bhatt, Samir; Biadgilign, Sibhatu; Bienhofff, Kelly; Bikbov, Boris; Biryukov, Stan; Bisanzio, Donal; Bjertness, Espen; Blore, Jed; Borschmann, Rohan; Boufous, Soufiane; Brainin, Michael; Brazinova, Alexandra; Breitborde, Nicholas J. K.; Brown, Jonathan; Buchbinder, Rachelle; Buckle, Geoffrey Colin; Butt, Zahid A.; Calabria, Bianca; Campos-Nonato, Ismael Ricardo; Campuzano, Julio Cesar; Carabin, Helene; Cardenas, Rosario; Carpenter, David O.; Carrero, Juan Jesus; Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A.; Rivas, Jacqueline Castillo; Catala-Lopez, Ferran; Chang, Jung-Chen; Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia; Chibueze, Chioma Ezinne; Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe; Choi, Jee-Young Jasmine; Chowdhury, Rajiv; Christensen, Hanne; Christopher, Devasahayam Jesudas; Ciobanu, Liliana G.; Cirillo, Massimo; Coates, Matthew M.; Colquhoun, Samantha M; Cooper, Cyrus; Cortinovis, Monica; Crump, John A.; Damtew, Solomon Abrha; Dandona, Rakhi; Daoud, Farah; Dargan, Paul I.; das Neves, Jose; Davey, Gail; Davis, Adrian C.; De Leo, Diego; Degenhardt, Louisa; Del Gobbo, Liana C; Dellavalle, Robert P; Deribe, Kebede; Deribew, Amare; Derrett, Sarah; Des Jarlais, Don C.; Dharmaratne, Samath D.; Dhillon, Preet K.; Diaz-Torne, Cesar; Ding, Eric L.; Driscoll, Tim R.; Duan, Leilei; Dubey, Manisha; Duncan, Bruce Bartholow; Ebrahimi, Hedyeh; Ellenbogen, Richard G.; Elyazar, Iqbal; Endres, Matthias; Endries, Aman Yesuf; Ermakov, Sergey Petrovich; Eshrati, Babak; Estep, Kara; Farid, Talha A; Farinha, Carla Sofia e Sa; Faro, Andre; Farvid, Maryam S.; Farzadfar, Farshad; Feigin, Valery L.; Felson, David T.; Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad; Fernandes, Jefferson G.; Fernandes, Joao C.; Fischer, Florian; Fitchett, Joseph R. A.; Foreman, Kyle; Fowkes, Gerry R.; Fox, Jordan; Franklin, Richard C.; Friedman, Joseph; Frostad, Joseph; Furst, Thomas; Futran, Neal D.; Gabbe, Belinda; Ganguly, Parthasarathi; Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho; Gebre, Teshome; Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde; Gebremedhin, Amanuel Tesfay; Geleijnse, Johanna M.; Gessner, Bradford D.; Gibney, Katherine B.; Ginawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed; Giref, Ababi Zergaw; Giroud, Maurice; Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo; Glaser, Elizabeth; Godwin, William W.; Gomez-Dantes, Hector; Gona, Philimon; Goodridge, Amador; Gopalani, Sameer Vali; Gotay, Carolyn C.; Goto, Atsushi; Gouda, Hebe N.; Grainger, Rebecca; Greaves, Felix; Guillemin, Francis; Guo, Yuming; Gupta, Rahul; Gupta, Rajeev; Gupta, Vipin; Gutierrez, Reyna A.; Haile, Demewoz; Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa; Halasa, Yara A.; Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi; Hamidi, Samer; Hammami, Mouhanad; Hancock, Jamie; Handal, Alexis J.; Hankey, Graeme J.; Hao, Yuantao; Harb, Hilda L.; Harikrishnan, Sivadasanpillai; Haro, Josep Maria; Havmoeller, Rasmus; Hay, Roderick J.; Heredia-Pi, Ileana Beatriz; Heydarpour, Pouria; Hoek, Hans W.; Horino, Masako; Horita, Nobuyuki; Hosgood, H. Dean; Hoy, Damian G.; Htet, Aung Soe; Huang, Hsiang; Huang, John J.; Huynh, Chantal; Iannarone, Marissa; Iburg, Kim Moesgaard; Innos, Kaire; Inoue, Manami; Iyer, Veena J.; Jacobsen, Kathryn H.; Jahanmehr, Nader; Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B.; Javanbakht, Mehdi; Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra; Jee, Sun Ha; Jeemon, Panniyammakal; Jensen, Paul N.; Jiang, Ying; Jibat, Tariku; Jimenez-Corona, Aida; Jin, Ye; Jonas, Jost B.; Kabir, Zubair; Kalkonde, Yogeshwar; Kamal, Ritul; Kan, Haidong; Karch, Andre; Karema, Corine Kakizi; Karimkhani, Chante; Kasaeian, Amir; Kau, Anil; Kawakami, Norito; Keiyoro, Peter Njenga; Kemp, Andrew Haddon; Keren, Andre; Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Nair; Khader, Yousef Saleh; Khaiff, Abdur Rahman; Khaiff, Ejaz Ahmad; Khang, Young-Ho; Khera, Sahil; Khoja, Tawfik Ahmed Muthafer; Khubchandani, Jagdish; Kieling, Christian; Kim, Pauline; Kim, Cho-il; Kim, Daniel; Kim, Yun Jin; Kissoon, Niranjan; Knibbs, Luke D.; Knudsen, Ann Kristin; Kokubo, Yoshihiro; Kolte, Dhaval; Kopec, Jacek A.; Kosen, Soewarta; Kotsakis, Georgios A.; Koul, Parvaiz A.; Koyanagi, Ai; Kravchenko, Michael; Defo, Barthelemy Kuate; Bicer, Burcu Kucuk; Kudom, Andreas A.; Kuipers, Ernst J.; Kumar, G. Anil; Kutz, Michael; Kwan, Gene F.; Lal, Aparna; Lalloo, Ratilal; Lallukka, Tea; Lam, Hilton; Lam, Jennifer O.; Langan, Sinead M.; Larsson, Anders; Lavados, Pablo M.; Leasher, Janet L.; Leigh, James; Leung, Ricky; Levi, Miriam; Li, Yichong; Liang, Juan; Liu, Shiwei; Lloyd, Belinda K.; Lo, Warren D.; Logroscino, Giancarlo; Looker, Katharine J.; Lotufo, Paulo A.; Lunevicius, Raimundas; Lyons, Ronan A.; Mackay, Mark T.; Abd El Razek, Mohammed Magdy; Majdan, Marek; Majeed, Azeem; Malekzadeh, Reza; Marcenes, Wagner; Margolis, David Joel; Martinez-Raga, Jose; Masiye, Felix; Massano, João; McGarvey, Stephen Theodore; McGrath, John J.; McKee, Martin; McMahon, Brian J.; Meaney, Peter A.; Mehari, Alem; Meija-Rodriguez, Fabiola; Mekonnen, Alemayehu B.; Melaku, Yohannes Adama; Memiah, Peter; Memish, Ziad A.; Mendoza, Walter; Meretoja, Atte; Meretoja, Tuomo J.; Mhimbira, Francis Apolinary; Miller, Ted R.; Mills, Edward J; Mirarefin, Mojde; Mitchell, Philip B.; Mock, Charles N.; Mohammadi, Alireza; Mohammed, Shafiu; Monasta, Lorenzo; Montanez Hernandez, Julio Cesar; Montico, Marcella; Mooney, Meghan D.; Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar; Morawska, Lidia; Mueller, Ulrich O.; Mullany, Erin C.; Mumford, John Everett; Murdoch, Michele E.; Nachega, Jean B.; Nagel, Gabriele; Naheed, Aliya; Naldi, Luigi; Nangia, Vinay; Newton, John N.; Ng, Marie; Norheim, Ole Frithjof; Ngalesoni, Frida Namnyak; Hailu, Alemayehu; Savic, Miloje; Skirbekk, Vegard; Skogen, Jens Christoffer; Stovner, Lars Jacob; Steiner, Timothy J.; Søreide, Kjetil; Vollset, Stein Emil; Weiderpass, Elisabete; White, Richard (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2016-10-08)
      Background:<br>Non-fatal outcomes of disease and injury increasingly detract from the ability of the world’s population to live in full health, a trend largely attributable to an epidemiological transition in many countries from causes aff ecting children, to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) more common in adults. For the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015), ...
    • Hospital stage of myocardial infarction treatment in 13 regions of Russian Federation by results of the international research 

      Kontsevaya, Anna V.; Bates, Katie; Goryachkin, Evgeny A.; Bobrova, Natalia; Syromiatnikova, Liudmila I.; Popova, Yulia V.; Platonov, Dmitry Yu.; Osipova, Irina V.; Nedbaikin, Andrei M.; Malorodova, Tatyana N.; Mirolyubova, Olga A.; Kryuchkov, Dmitry V.; Khaisheva, Larisa A.; Galyavich, Albert S.; Franz, Maria V.; Efanov, Alexey Yu.; Duplyakov, Dmitry V.; Drapkina, Oxana M.; Leon, David Adrew; McKee, Martin (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2018)
      <i>Aim</i>: To describe the characteristics of the patient with MI who is admitted to a hospital and to characterize the main diagnostic and treatment interventions in clinic.<p> <p><i>Material and methods</i>: This study is observational and the part of big international project. It includes a representative sample of patients with MI admitted to 16 clinics in 13 regions of Russian Federation ...
    • Indirect acute effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on physical and mental health in the UK: a population-based study 

      Mansfield, Kathryn E; Mathur, Rohini; Tazare, John; Henderson, Alasdair D; Mulick, Amy R; Carreira, Helena; Matthews, Anthony A; Bidulka, Patrick; Gayle, Alicia; Forbes, Harriet; Cook, Sarah; Wong, Angel Y S; Strongman, Helen; Wing, Kevin; Warren-Gash, Charlotte; Cadogan, Sharon L; Smeeth, Liam; Hayes, Joseph F; Quint, Jennifer K; McKee, Martin; Langan, Sinéad M (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2021-02-18)
      Background There are concerns that the response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK might have worsened physical and mental health, and reduced use of health services. However, the scale of the problem is unquantified, impeding development of effective mitigations. We aimed to ascertain what has happened to general practice contacts for acute physical and mental health outcomes during the ...
    • The management of acute myocardial infarction in the Russian Federation: Protocol for a study of patient pathways [version 2; referees: 2 approved] 

      Kontsevaya, Anna V; Bobrova, Natalia; Barbarash, Olga; Duplyakov, Dmitry; Efanov, Alexey; Galyavich, Albert; Frants, Maria; Khaisheva, Larisa; Malorodova, Tatyana; Mirolyubova, Olga; Nedbaikin, Andrei; Osipova, Irina; Platonov, Dmitry; Posnenkova, OIga; Syromiatnikova, Liudmila; Bates, Katie; Leon, David Adrew; McKee, Martin (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2018-04-06)
      <i>Background</i>: Death rates from cardiovascular disease in Russia are among the highest in the world. In recent years, the Russian government has invested substantially in the healthcare system, with a particular focus on improving access to advanced technology, especially for acute myocardial infarction (AMI). This protocol describes a study to understand the management of AMI in different Russian ...
    • Management of patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction in Russian hospitals adheres to international guidelines 

      Kontsevaya, Anna; Bates, Katie; Schirmer, Henrik; Bobrova, Natalia; Leon, David A.; McKee, Martin (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-01-23)
      <i>Objective</i> - Russia has one of the highest cardiovascular mortality rates. Modernisation of the Russian health system has been accompanied by a substantial increase in uptake of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), which substantially reduces the risk of mortality in patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). This paper aims to describe contemporary Hospital treatment ...
    • Peer victimisation and its association with psychological and somatic health problems among adolescents in northern Russia. 

      Stickley, Andrew; Koyanagi, Ai; Koposov, Roman A; McKee, Martin; Roberts, Bayard; Ruchkin, Vladislav (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2013)
      Background: A growing body of evidence from countries around the world suggests that school-based peer victimisation is associated with worse health outcomes among adolescents. So far, however, there has been little systematic research on this phenomenon in the countries of the former Soviet Union. The aim of this study was to examine the relation between peer victimisation at school and a range ...
    • Pharmacological management of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (blood pressure and lipids) following diagnosis of myocardial infarction, stroke and diabetes: Comparison between population-based studies in Russia and Norway 

      Cook, Sarah Anne; Hopstock, Laila Arnesdatter; Eggen, Anne Elise; Bates, Katie; Iakunchykova, Olena; Kontsevaya, Anna; McKee, Martin; Schirmer, Henrik; Voevoda, Michael; Kudryavtsev, Alexander V; Malyutina, Sofia; Leon, David A. (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-05-19)
      <i>Background</i> - Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality is substantially higher in Russia than in neighbouring Norway. We aimed to compare blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medication use and proportion meeting treatment targets between general population samples in the two countries in those with CVD and diabetes.<p><p> <i>Methods</i> - The study population was adults aged 40–69 years reporting ...
    • Primary care use and cardiovascular disease risk in Russian 40–69 year olds: a cross-sectional study 

      Petersen, Jakob; Kontsevaya, Anna V.; McKee, Martin; Richardson, E.; Cook, Sarah Anne; Malyutina, Sofia; Kudryavtsev, Alexander V; Leon, David Adrew (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-05-04)
      <i>Background</i> - The Russian Federation has very high cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality rates compared with countries of similar economic development. This cross-sectional study compares the characteristics of CVD-free participants with and without recent primary care contact to ascertain their CVD risk and health status.<br><br> <i>Methods</i> - A total of 2774 participants aged 40–69 ...
    • Reducing geographic inequalities in access times for acute treatment of myocardial infarction in a large country: the example of Russia 

      Timonin, Sergey; Kontsevaya, Anna; McKee, Martin; Leon, David Adrew (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2018-08-01)
      Background: Russia has the largest area of any country in the world and has one of the highest cardiovascular mortality rates. Over the past decade, the number of facilities able to perform percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs) has increased substantially. We quantify the extent to which the constraints of geography make equitable access to this effective technology difficult to ...
    • Time trends in smoking in Russia in the light of recent tobacco control measures: synthesis of evidence from multiple sources 

      Shkolnikov, Vladimir M.; Churilova, Elena; Jdanov, Dmitrii; Shalnova, Svetlana A; Nilssen, Odd-Ragnar; Kudryavtsev, Alexander V; Cook, Sarah Anne; Malyutina, Sofia; McKee, Martin; Leon, David Adrew (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-03-23)
      <i>Background</i> - The study aims at identifying long-term trends and patterns of current smoking by age, gender, and education in Russia, including the most recent period from 2008 during which tobacco control policies were implemented, and to estimate the impact on mortality of any reductions in prevalence. We present an in-depth analysis based on an unprecedentedly large array of survey ...
    • Uncontrolled and apparent treatment-resistant hypertension: a cross-sectional study of Russian and Norwegian 40–69 year olds 

      Petersen, Jakob; Malyutina, Sofia; Ryabikov, Andrey; Kontsevaya, Anna; Kudryavtsev, Alexander V; Eggen, Anne Elise; McKee, Martin; Cook, Sarah Anne; Hopstock, Laila Arnesdatter; Schirmer, Henrik; Leon, David Adrew (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-03-13)
      <i>Background</i> - Uncontrolled hypertension is a major cardiovascular risk factor. We examined uncontrolled hypertension and differences in treatment regimens between a high-risk country, Russia, and low-risk Norway to gain better understanding of the underlying factors.<p><p> <i>Methods</i> - Population-based survey data on 40–69 year olds with hypertension defined as taking antihypertensives ...
    • Untreated hypertension in Russian 35-69 year olds – a cross-sectional study 

      Petersen, Jakob; Kontsevaya, Anna V; McKee, Martin; Kudryavtsev, Alexander V; Malyutina, Sofia; Cook, Sarah Anne; Leon, David Adrew (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2020-05-29)
      <i>Background</i> - The Russian Federation has among the highest rates of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the world and a high rate of untreated hypertension remains an important risk factor. Understanding who is at greatest risk is important to inform approaches to primary prevention.<p> <p><i>Methods</i> - 2,353 hypertensive 35–69 year olds were selected from a population-based study, Know Your ...
    • What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and previous winter peaks 

      Shkolnikov, Vladimir M.; Klimkin, Ilya; McKee, Martin; Jdanov, Dmitri A.; Alustiza-Galarza, Ainhoa; Németh, László; Timonin, Sergey A.; Nepomuceno, Marília R.; Andreev, Evgeny M.; Leon, David A. (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2022-06-18)
      Excess mortality has been used to measure the impact of COVID-19 over time and across countries. But what baseline should be chosen? We propose two novel approaches: an alternative retrospective baseline derived from the lowest weekly death rates achieved in previous years and a within-year baseline based on the average of the 13 lowest weekly death rates within the same year. These baselines express ...